The foresight and innovation observatory of Doulab
Vigía Futura connects evidence, signals, and learning across institutions so national innovation systems compound progress rather than reset between cohorts. It is the home of the forthcoming National Innovation Maturity and Digital Transformation Index.
Privacy first. No tracking pixels.
Innovation ecosystems plateau without continuity infrastructure: credible foresight, honest maturity measurement, and governance for institutional learning.
The OECD's strategic foresight work positions anticipatory governance as core capacity for modern administrations, not a peripheral exercise. Most countries still lack the institutional muscle to turn signals into decisions.
Source: OECD Strategic Foresight Unit.
The World Economic Forum's readiness work shows that ecosystem outcomes track capability maturity more than program volume. Counting events and cohorts overstates progress; measuring capability exposes where investment compounds.
Source: WEF readiness and competitiveness frameworks.
Ecosystems that cross a coordination threshold, where actors share evidence, vocabulary, and feedback loops, compound. Those that do not, reset with every government cycle. An observatory exists to hold that continuity.
Source: Doulab coordination-threshold thesis (site blog).
A coherent set of frameworks for ecosystem builders. Each piece does one job; together they form the operating stack for national innovation systems.
Vigía Incubanet Framework. Architecture and operating standards for national public-private incubator networks.
Vigía Innovation Lab Framework. Five-spine architecture for innovation lab networks at the institutional and national level.
Innovation Maturity Model. The capability spine. Five domains that describe how ecosystems and institutions actually mature.
The execution spine. The engagement program through which institutions advance their maturity with evidence, gates, and learning loops.
Monitoring, evaluation, and learning. The feedback layer that turns activity into institutional memory across cohorts and cycles.
Vigía Futura is the observatory layer. The Network is the coalition of observatories, labs, and research partners that produces and curates its outputs.
We are building Vigía Futura with public and private partners: universities, ministries, ecosystem builders, and multilateral programs. Each node contributes local evidence; the Network contributes shared method, comparability, and continuity.
Independent, evidence-anchored, replicable. The observatory's job is to report what is actually maturing and what is not, in language ministers, boards, and ecosystem builders can act on.
An IMM-grounded measurement instrument that scores national ecosystems across five capability domains and one digital transformation vertical. Forthcoming; pilots in flight.
How rigorously the ecosystem produces, shares, and uses evidence to update decisions.
How decisions are framed, escalated, and held accountable across public and private actors.
Whether everyday practice rewards learning, candor about failure, and disciplined iteration.
Whether the ecosystem closes loops between policy, program, and outcome, and improves cycle over cycle.
Whether emerging technology, especially AI, is governed with foresight and institutional safeguards.
Digital transformation maturity at national scale: infrastructure, services, talent, data, and adoption.
The Index combines institutional scans, evidence audits, and structured expert review against IMM rubrics. It is calibrated against established readiness instruments (OECD, WEF) and published with full method notes so countries can replicate or contest findings.
The Network and the Index roll out in horizons. Each horizon ships a usable artifact, not a milestone slide.
Operating framework set; first pilot countries scoped with partners.
National maturity scans run across the pilot set; first public signal library released.
First public release of the Index, accompanied by an ecosystem benchmark report.
Expansion to additional countries; annual Index release cycle established.
Full IMM-DT vertical integrated into the Index; multilateral partnerships formalized.
Vigía Futura works with governments, ministries, multilateral programs, universities, and ecosystem builders.
National scans, foresight briefings, and capability roadmaps tied to IMM-P® engagements.
Country comparability, investment targeting, and joint evaluation against shared rubrics.
Local observatory nodes, replication packs, and access to the signal library and method notes.
Whether you lead a ministry, a multilateral program, a university, or an ecosystem coalition, we will scope a path that fits your context. Privacy first, no tracking pixels.